Morehead State Eagles 62, Tennessee State Lady Tigers 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Tennessee State Lady Tigers
Tennessee State Lady Tigers defeated Morehead State Eagles 70–62 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:43 swung win probability 38% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Morehead State Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morehead State Eagles | 17 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 62 |
| Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 12 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:43 swung win probability 38% → 89%.
Why Morehead State Eagles lost
- Lost Q2 13-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 5:05 (win probability 47% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 48.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 13–0 | Q2 5:05 | 47% → 92% |
| Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 9–0 | Q3 0:43 | 38% → 89% |