Tennessee State Lady Tigers 59, Western Illinois Leathernecks 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Western Illinois Leathernecks
Western Illinois Leathernecks defeated Tennessee State Lady Tigers 76–59 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:31 swung win probability 42% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tennessee State Lady Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 18 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 59 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 15 | 20 | 15 | 26 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:31 swung win probability 42% → 84%.
Why Tennessee State Lady Tigers lost
- Lost Q2 11-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 1:31 (win probability 42% → 84% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 8–0 | Q1 5:02 | 58% → 28% |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 10–0 | Q2 1:31 | 42% → 84% |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 8–0 | Q4 9:28 | 84% → 100% |