Little Rock Trojans 48, SIU Edwardsville Cougars 45
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Little Rock Trojans
Little Rock Trojans defeated SIU Edwardsville Cougars 48–45 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:51 swung win probability 69% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SIU Edwardsville Cougars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 16 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 48 |
| SIU Edwardsville Cougars | 9 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 45 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:51 swung win probability 69% → 25%.
Why SIU Edwardsville Cougars lost
- Lost Q1 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 4:51 (win probability 69% → 25% for the home side).
- Shot 38.0% eFG vs a 45.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 12–0 | Q1 4:51 | 69% → 25% |
| SIU Edwardsville Cougars | 9–0 | Q4 5:20 | 4% → 34% |