Western Illinois Leathernecks 78, UT Martin Skyhawks 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: UT Martin Skyhawks
UT Martin Skyhawks defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 86–78 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:41 swung win probability 40% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 13 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 78 |
| UT Martin Skyhawks | 19 | 11 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:41 swung win probability 40% → 85%.
Why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost
- Lost Q6 4-12 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 1:41 (win probability 40% → 85% for the home side).
- Shot 35.5% eFG vs a 50.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-12.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 10–0 | Q2 0:56 | 84% → 49% |
| UT Martin Skyhawks | 8–0 | Q4 1:41 | 40% → 85% |