Southern Utah Thunderbirds 61, California Baptist Lancers 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 77–61 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:27 swung win probability 99% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 16 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 61 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 26 | 18 | 22 | 11 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:27 swung win probability 99% → 100%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost Q1 16-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 7:27 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.2% eFG vs a 47.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 11–0 | Q4 7:27 | 99% → 100% |