California Baptist Lancers 79, UT Arlington Mavericks 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated UT Arlington Mavericks 79–72 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:01 swung win probability 43% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Arlington Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 19 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 79 |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 18 | 13 | 23 | 18 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:01 swung win probability 43% → 6%.
Why UT Arlington Mavericks lost
- Lost Q2 13-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 4:01 (win probability 43% → 6% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 11–0 | Q2 4:01 | 43% → 6% |