Utah Valley Wolverines 63, California Baptist Lancers 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Utah Valley Wolverines
Utah Valley Wolverines defeated California Baptist Lancers 63–61 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:58 swung win probability 86% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Baptist Lancers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines | 16 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 63 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:58 swung win probability 86% → 5%.
Why California Baptist Lancers lost
- Lost Q1 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 1:58 (win probability 86% → 5% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-17.
- Outscored 14-3 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines | 12–0 | Q1 0:41 | 72% → 25% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | Q3 5:53 | 44% → 86% |
| Utah Valley Wolverines | 17–0 | Q3 1:58 | 86% → 5% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | Q4 9:45 | 5% → 41% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | Q4 4:52 | 22% → 93% |