Southern Utah Thunderbirds 85, California Baptist Lancers 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Southern Utah Thunderbirds defeated California Baptist Lancers 85–70 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:03 swung win probability 42% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Baptist Lancers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 22 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 85 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 17 | 15 | 22 | 16 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:03 swung win probability 42% → 5%.
Why California Baptist Lancers lost
- Lost Q2 15-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 2:03 (win probability 42% → 5% for the home side).
- Outscored 11-1 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 11–0 | Q2 2:03 | 42% → 5% |