Southern Utah Thunderbirds 57, Tarleton State Texans 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Tarleton State Texans
Tarleton State Texans defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 59–57 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:18 swung win probability 32% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 22 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 57 |
| Tarleton State Texans | 10 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:18 swung win probability 32% → 90%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost Q2 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 9:18 (win probability 32% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 47.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 10–0 | Q1 5:48 | 58% → 22% |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 9–0 | Q2 8:13 | 25% → 5% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 10–0 | Q4 9:18 | 32% → 90% |