California Baptist Lancers 74, Abilene Christian Wildcats 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Abilene Christian Wildcats 74–71 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:06 swung win probability 93% → 22%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 18 | 22 | 9 | 25 | 74 |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 20 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:06 swung win probability 93% → 22%.
Why Abilene Christian Wildcats lost
- Lost Q4 13-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 4:06 (win probability 93% → 22% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | Q2 0:17 | 64% → 25% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 17–0 | Q3 3:55 | 25% → 96% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | Q4 4:06 | 93% → 22% |