UT Arlington Mavericks 55, California Baptist Lancers 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated UT Arlington Mavericks 83–55 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 28-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:40 swung win probability 90% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Arlington Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 11 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 55 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 20 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:40 swung win probability 90% → 100%.
Why UT Arlington Mavericks lost
- Lost Q3 8-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 0:42 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 42.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 12–0 | Q2 3:40 | 90% → 100% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 13–0 | Q3 0:42 | 100% → 100% |