Abilene Christian Wildcats 70, California Baptist Lancers 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Abilene Christian Wildcats
Abilene Christian Wildcats defeated California Baptist Lancers 70–58 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 7:57 swung win probability 72% → 44%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Baptist Lancers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19 | 24 | 13 | 14 | 70 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 12 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 7:57 swung win probability 72% → 44%.
Why California Baptist Lancers lost
- Lost Q2 13-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 3:08 (win probability 9% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 36.8% eFG vs a 47.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 17-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q1 7:57 | 72% → 44% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q2 5:27 | 39% → 11% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | Q3 6:51 | 1% → 9% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 10–0 | Q3 3:08 | 9% → 0% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 12–0 | Q4 5:14 | 0% → 2% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q4 0:07 | 2% → 0% |