California Baptist Lancers 82, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Southern Utah Thunderbirds 82–77 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 0:24 swung win probability 53% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 20 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 13 | 82 |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 19 | 15 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 0:24 swung win probability 53% → 0%.
Why Southern Utah Thunderbirds lost
- Lost Q3 12-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 7:14 (win probability 85% → 40% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-7.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 11–0 | Q3 7:14 | 85% → 40% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | OT 0:24 | 53% → 0% |