Tarleton State Texans 59, Abilene Christian Wildcats 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Abilene Christian Wildcats
Abilene Christian Wildcats defeated Tarleton State Texans 64–59 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:08 swung win probability 73% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 8 | 12 | 17 | 22 | 59 |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:08 swung win probability 73% → 97%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost
- Lost Q1 8-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 5:02 (win probability 85% → 98% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q1 2:57 | 84% → 96% |
| Tarleton State Texans | 8–0 | Q2 6:50 | 96% → 85% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 9–0 | Q2 5:02 | 85% → 98% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q3 5:08 | 73% → 97% |