UT Arlington Mavericks 64, California Baptist Lancers 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated UT Arlington Mavericks 85–64 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:30 swung win probability 55% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Arlington Mavericks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 19 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 64 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 24 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:30 swung win probability 55% → 93%.
Why UT Arlington Mavericks lost
- Lost Q3 13-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 8:46 (win probability 69% → 100% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 14–0 | Q1 5:30 | 55% → 93% |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 9–0 | Q1 0:00 | 96% → 79% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 10–0 | Q2 7:35 | 79% → 97% |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | 10–0 | Q3 7:30 | 97% → 78% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 16–0 | Q4 8:46 | 69% → 100% |