Utah Valley Wolverines 51, California Baptist Lancers 82
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: California Baptist Lancers
California Baptist Lancers defeated Utah Valley Wolverines 82–51 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:38 swung win probability 58% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah Valley Wolverines lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines | 8 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 51 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 17 | 22 | 13 | 30 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:38 swung win probability 58% → 86%.
Why Utah Valley Wolverines lost
- Lost Q4 13-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 4:42 (win probability 85% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 34.0% eFG vs a 43.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | 9–0 | Q1 3:38 | 58% → 86% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 10–0 | Q2 4:42 | 85% → 99% |
| Utah Valley Wolverines | 9–0 | Q3 0:50 | 100% → 99% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8–0 | Q4 4:02 | 100% → 100% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 10–0 | Q4 0:15 | 100% → 100% |