Missouri State Lady Bears 65, Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 38
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: Missouri State Lady Bears
Missouri State Lady Bears defeated Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 65–38 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 27-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:36 swung win probability 27% → 3%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 14 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 65 |
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 9 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 38 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:36 swung win probability 27% → 3%.
Why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost
- Lost Q4 6-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 7:36 (win probability 27% → 3% for the home side).
- Shot 28.3% eFG vs a 45.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 8–0 | Q3 7:36 | 27% → 3% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 8–0 | Q4 5:08 | 0% → 0% |