Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 65, Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Western Kentucky Lady Toppers
Western Kentucky Lady Toppers defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 70–65 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:33 swung win probability 100% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 6 | 13 | 19 | 27 | 65 |
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 9 | 21 | 25 | 15 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:33 swung win probability 100% → 93%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost Q2 13-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 5:04 (win probability 96% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 41.8% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 9–0 | Q3 5:04 | 96% → 100% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 12–0 | Q4 4:33 | 100% → 93% |