Liberty Flames 55, Missouri State Lady Bears 43
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames defeated Missouri State Lady Bears 55–43 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:50 swung win probability 58% → 16%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Lady Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 12 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 55 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 11 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 43 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:50 swung win probability 58% → 16%.
Why Missouri State Lady Bears lost
- Lost Q3 4-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 9:32 (win probability 24% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 27.9% eFG vs a 44.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 8–0 | Q2 0:00 | 22% → 59% |
| Liberty Flames | 8–0 | Q3 5:50 | 58% → 16% |
| Liberty Flames | 10–0 | Q4 9:32 | 24% → 0% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 9–0 | Q4 5:36 | 0% → 4% |