Missouri State Lady Bears 67, Sam Houston Bearkats 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Sam Houston Bearkats
Sam Houston Bearkats defeated Missouri State Lady Bears 74–67 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:52 swung win probability 7% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Lady Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 15 | 24 | 11 | 17 | 67 |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 18 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:52 swung win probability 7% → 63%.
Why Missouri State Lady Bears lost
- Lost Q3 11-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 1:52 (win probability 7% → 63% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 28-7.
- Outscored 24-13 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 9–0 | Q1 2:00 | 46% → 79% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 9–0 | Q2 1:31 | 60% → 19% |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 12–0 | Q3 1:52 | 7% → 63% |