Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 52, Missouri State Lady Bears 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Missouri State Lady Bears
Missouri State Lady Bears defeated Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 75–52 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 18-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 62% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 3 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 52 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 21 | 12 | 16 | 26 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 18-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 62% → 98%.
Why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost
- Lost Q1 3-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q1 0:57 (win probability 62% → 98% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 18–0 | Q1 0:57 | 62% → 98% |
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 8–0 | Q2 0:46 | 96% → 77% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 10–0 | Q4 4:05 | 98% → 100% |