Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 54, Missouri State Lady Bears 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Missouri State Lady Bears
Missouri State Lady Bears defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 60–54 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:25 swung win probability 31% → 68%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 14 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 54 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 11 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:25 swung win probability 31% → 68%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost Q2 10-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 4:25 (win probability 31% → 68% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-2.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 9–0 | Q2 4:25 | 31% → 68% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 9–0 | Q3 7:10 | 64% → 94% |