Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 58, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 81
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 81–58 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:24 swung win probability 79% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 15 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 58 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 26 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:24 swung win probability 79% → 95%.
Why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost
- Lost Q2 8-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 2:06 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 39.8% eFG vs a 45.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | Q2 9:24 | 79% → 95% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 15–0 | Q2 2:06 | 93% → 100% |