New Mexico State Aggies 46, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks defeated New Mexico State Aggies 57–46 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:04 swung win probability 51% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 16 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 46 |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 13 | 14 | 21 | 9 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:04 swung win probability 51% → 87%.
Why New Mexico State Aggies lost
- Lost Q3 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 1:04 (win probability 51% → 87% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 43.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 9–0 | Q2 1:04 | 51% → 87% |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 9–0 | Q3 2:15 | 99% → 100% |