Missouri State Lady Bears 56, New Mexico State Aggies 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies defeated Missouri State Lady Bears 63–56 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:02 swung win probability 69% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri State Lady Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 10 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 56 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 21 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:02 swung win probability 69% → 92%.
Why Missouri State Lady Bears lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 0:02 (win probability 69% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 36.6% eFG vs a 44.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 9–0 | Q1 0:02 | 69% → 92% |