Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 68, Sam Houston Bearkats 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated Sam Houston Bearkats 68–67 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:46 swung win probability 79% → 31%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sam Houston Bearkats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 14 | 18 | 23 | 13 | 68 |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 20 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:46 swung win probability 79% → 31%.
Why Sam Houston Bearkats lost
- Lost Q3 17-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 2:11 (win probability 95% → 73% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 10–0 | Q2 9:19 | 57% → 89% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 9–0 | Q2 2:11 | 95% → 73% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | Q3 2:46 | 79% → 31% |