Jacksonville State Gamecocks 47, Missouri State Lady Bears 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Missouri State Lady Bears
Missouri State Lady Bears defeated Jacksonville State Gamecocks 63–47 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:26 swung win probability 28% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 12 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 47 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 13 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:26 swung win probability 28% → 87%.
Why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost
- Lost Q3 4-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 4:26 (win probability 28% → 87% for the home side).
- Shot 31.5% eFG vs a 45.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 12–0 | Q3 4:26 | 28% → 87% |
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 10–0 | Q4 8:42 | 84% → 100% |