Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 69, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 52
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders defeated Jacksonville State Gamecocks 69–52 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:18 swung win probability 86% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 7 | 19 | 26 | 17 | 69 |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 16 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 52 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:18 swung win probability 86% → 17%.
Why Jacksonville State Gamecocks lost
- Lost Q3 11-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 6:18 (win probability 86% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 38.5% eFG vs a 45.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 9–0 | Q1 2:19 | 75% → 95% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 15–0 | Q3 6:18 | 86% → 17% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | Q3 1:56 | 14% → 1% |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 8–0 | Q4 5:52 | 0% → 0% |