Western Illinois Leathernecks 58, Valparaiso Beacons 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Valparaiso Beacons
Valparaiso Beacons defeated Western Illinois Leathernecks 80–58 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 22-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 10:12 swung win probability 46% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 19 | 39 | 58 |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 38 | 42 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 10:12 swung win probability 46% → 79%.
Why Western Illinois Leathernecks lost
- Lost H1 19-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 2:31 (win probability 79% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-9.
- Outscored 28-14 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 9–0 | H1 10:12 | 46% → 79% |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 12–0 | H1 2:31 | 79% → 99% |