Virginia Lynchburg Dragons 58, Morgan State Bears 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-04 · Winner: Morgan State Bears
Morgan State Bears defeated Virginia Lynchburg Dragons 95–58 on 2026-11-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 37-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 5:29 swung win probability 99% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Lynchburg Dragons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| Morgan State Bears | 47 | 48 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 5:29 swung win probability 99% → 100%.
Why Virginia Lynchburg Dragons lost
- Lost H1 26-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 11:48 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 31.9% eFG vs a 39.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan State Bears | 9–0 | H1 5:29 | 99% → 100% |
| Morgan State Bears | 11–0 | H2 14:59 | 100% → 100% |
| Morgan State Bears | 12–0 | H2 11:48 | 100% → 100% |
| Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | 8–0 | H2 5:14 | 100% → 100% |