Toledo Rockets 61, Michigan State Spartans 91
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Toledo Rockets 91–61 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 30-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at H1 15:44 swung win probability 55% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 25 | 36 | 61 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 48 | 43 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at H1 15:44 swung win probability 55% → 96%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost H1 25-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at H1 15:44 (win probability 55% → 96% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 17–0 | H1 15:44 | 55% → 96% |