Holy Cross Crusaders 66, Villanova Wildcats 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-06 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated Holy Cross Crusaders 95–66 on 2026-11-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 29-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:41 swung win probability 66% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Holy Cross Crusaders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 28 | 38 | 66 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 44 | 51 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:41 swung win probability 66% → 90%.
Why Holy Cross Crusaders lost
- Lost H1 28-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 7:23 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 11-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 9–0 | H1 13:41 | 66% → 90% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | H1 10:45 | 84% → 97% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | H2 11:39 | 100% → 100% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 11–0 | H2 7:23 | 100% → 100% |