Cal State San Marcos Cougars 62, Cal Poly Mustangs 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated Cal State San Marcos Cougars 78–62 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 14:24 swung win probability 51% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State San Marcos Cougars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State San Marcos Cougars | 24 | 38 | 62 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 35 | 43 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 14:24 swung win probability 51% → 78%.
Why Cal State San Marcos Cougars lost
- Lost H1 24-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 15:18 (win probability 97% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | H1 14:24 | 51% → 78% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | H2 15:18 | 97% → 100% |