Chicago State Cougars 66, Incarnate Word Cardinals 54
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Chicago State Cougars
Chicago State Cougars defeated Incarnate Word Cardinals 66–54 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 13:19 swung win probability 10% → 57%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State Cougars | 34 | 32 | 66 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 22 | 32 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 13:19 swung win probability 10% → 57%.
Why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost
- Lost H1 22-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 0:50 (win probability 2% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 29.2% eFG vs a 39.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 10–0 | H2 13:19 | 10% → 57% |
| Chicago State Cougars | 8–0 | H2 0:50 | 2% → 0% |