Southern Jaguars 54, TCU Horned Frogs 106
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-06 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Southern Jaguars 106–54 on 2026-11-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 52-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 6:05 swung win probability 82% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 49 | 57 | 106 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 6:05 swung win probability 82% → 98%.
Why Southern Jaguars lost
- Lost H2 26-57 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H2 18:12 (win probability 91% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.4% eFG vs a 43.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-11.
- Outscored 29-14 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | H1 6:05 | 82% → 98% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 16–0 | H2 18:12 | 91% → 100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | H2 16:26 | 100% → 100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 11–0 | H2 11:51 | 100% → 100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | H2 6:31 | 100% → 100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 11–0 | H2 0:50 | 100% → 100% |