VMI Keydets 70, SMU Mustangs 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs defeated VMI Keydets 95–70 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 25-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 15:47 swung win probability 55% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VMI Keydets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 28 | 42 | 70 |
| SMU Mustangs | 47 | 48 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 15:47 swung win probability 55% → 88%.
Why VMI Keydets lost
- Lost H1 28-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 3:23 (win probability 76% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 32.5% eFG vs a 47.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 11–0 | H1 15:47 | 55% → 88% |
| SMU Mustangs | 13–0 | H1 3:23 | 76% → 99% |
| SMU Mustangs | 8–0 | H2 19:18 | 97% → 100% |