Southern Jaguars 72, SMU Mustangs 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs defeated Southern Jaguars 85–72 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 3:20 swung win probability 80% → 46%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 38 | 34 | 72 |
| SMU Mustangs | 40 | 45 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 3:20 swung win probability 80% → 46%.
Why Southern Jaguars lost
- Lost H2 34-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 17:07 (win probability 68% → 96% for the home side).
- Outscored 32-12 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 9–0 | H1 8:28 | 96% → 79% |
| Southern Jaguars | 8–0 | H1 6:47 | 87% → 60% |
| Southern Jaguars | 8–0 | H1 3:20 | 80% → 46% |
| SMU Mustangs | 9–0 | H2 17:07 | 68% → 96% |
| SMU Mustangs | 8–0 | H2 9:03 | 88% → 100% |