East Tennessee State Buccaneers 63, NC State Wolfpack 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-06 · Winner: NC State Wolfpack
NC State Wolfpack defeated East Tennessee State Buccaneers 77–63 on 2026-11-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 10:11 swung win probability 10% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Tennessee State Buccaneers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 36 | 27 | 63 |
| NC State Wolfpack | 35 | 42 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at H2 10:11 swung win probability 10% → 86%.
Why East Tennessee State Buccaneers lost
- Lost H2 27-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H2 10:11 (win probability 10% → 86% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-5.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 10–0 | H1 5:36 | 30% → 72% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 8–0 | H2 19:37 | 77% → 38% |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 9–0 | H2 16:53 | 53% → 11% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 15–0 | H2 10:11 | 10% → 86% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 9–0 | H2 1:47 | 99% → 100% |