Chattanooga Mocs 70, Louisville Cardinals 84
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Chattanooga Mocs 84–70 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:40 swung win probability 72% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chattanooga Mocs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 56 | 28 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:40 swung win probability 72% → 93%.
Why Chattanooga Mocs lost
- Lost H1 35-56 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 9:43 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | H1 15:40 | 72% → 93% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | H1 9:43 | 95% → 100% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 8–0 | H1 8:29 | 100% → 97% |