Illinois State Redbirds 85, Saint Mary's Gaels 90
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-02 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Illinois State Redbirds 90–85 on 2026-11-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 3:30 swung win probability 10% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 39 | 38 | 8 | 85 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 33 | 44 | 13 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 3:30 swung win probability 10% → 64%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost H2 38-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 3:30 (win probability 10% → 64% for the home side).
- Shot 59.5% eFG vs a 68.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-10.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H1 2:14 | 61% → 27% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H2 12:34 | 48% → 12% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 9–0 | H2 3:30 | 10% → 64% |