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Cal State Northridge Matadors 78, Kansas State Wildcats 95

NCAA Men's · 2026-11-06 · Winner: Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State Wildcats defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 95–78 on 2026-11-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 5:05 swung win probability 94% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Cal State Northridge Matadors294978
Kansas State Wildcats573895

Win probability

Kansas State Wildcats win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Kansas State Wildcats) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 5:05 swung win probability 94% → 100%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Kansas State Wildcats8–0H1 5:0594% → 100%
Kansas State Wildcats10–0H1 3:1099% → 100%
Cal State Northridge Matadors11–0H2 13:07100% → 100%

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