Northwestern State Demons 44, Mississippi State Bulldogs 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-05 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Northwestern State Demons 82–44 on 2026-11-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 38-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:34 swung win probability 66% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Demons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Demons | 27 | 17 | 44 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 49 | 33 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:34 swung win probability 66% → 90%.
Why Northwestern State Demons lost
- Lost H1 27-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 1:01 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.0% eFG vs a 38.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 12-6.
- Outscored 22-12 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 15:34 | 66% → 90% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10–0 | H2 17:15 | 100% → 100% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 11–0 | H2 1:01 | 100% → 100% |