Arkansas State Red Wolves 86, Alabama Crimson Tide 101
NCAA Men's · 2026-11-06 · Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 101–86 on 2026-11-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:04 swung win probability 30% → 61%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 34 | 52 | 86 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 51 | 50 | 101 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:04 swung win probability 30% → 61%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost
- Lost H1 34-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at H2 19:16 (win probability 73% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-14.
- Outscored 32-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 25-17.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | H1 10:04 | 30% → 61% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 19–0 | H2 19:16 | 73% → 100% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 11–0 | H2 14:42 | 100% → 98% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | H2 7:26 | 100% → 100% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | H2 2:56 | 100% → 100% |