Illinois State Redbirds 78, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-22 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 78–75 on 2026-03-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 5:42 swung win probability 88% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 32 | 43 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 5:42 swung win probability 88% → 27%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 6:35 (win probability 89% → 60% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10–0 | H1 16:11 | 52% → 83% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 9–0 | H1 6:35 | 89% → 60% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H2 5:42 | 88% → 27% |