Iowa Hawkeyes 59, Illinois Fighting Illini 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-28 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Iowa Hawkeyes 71–59 on 2026-03-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 4:51 swung win probability 46% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa Hawkeyes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 32 | 27 | 59 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 28 | 43 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 4:51 swung win probability 46% → 98%.
Why Iowa Hawkeyes lost
- Lost H2 27-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 12:41 (win probability 25% → 57% for the home side).
- Shot 50.0% eFG vs a 56.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-8.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 9–0 | H1 12:41 | 25% → 57% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | H2 4:51 | 46% → 98% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | H2 0:37 | 98% → 100% |