St. John's Red Storm 75, Duke Blue Devils 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-27 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated St. John's Red Storm 80–75 on 2026-03-27 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:14 swung win probability 33% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. John's Red Storm lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 40 | 35 | 75 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 39 | 41 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:14 swung win probability 33% → 99%.
Why St. John's Red Storm lost
- Lost H2 35-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 2:14 (win probability 33% → 99% for the home side).
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 13–0 | H2 15:43 | 77% → 13% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | H2 2:14 | 33% → 99% |