Wright State Raiders 73, Virginia Cavaliers 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-20 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Wright State Raiders 82–73 on 2026-03-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 1:24 swung win probability 26% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wright State Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wright State Raiders | 43 | 30 | 73 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 38 | 44 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 1:24 swung win probability 26% → 100%.
Why Wright State Raiders lost
- Lost H2 30-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 1:24 (win probability 26% → 100% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H1 9:18 | 37% → 69% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H2 8:18 | 36% → 91% |
| Wright State Raiders | 9–0 | H2 5:32 | 91% → 26% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 11–0 | H2 1:24 | 26% → 100% |