Northern Iowa Panthers 53, St. John's Red Storm 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-20 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 79–53 on 2026-03-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 26-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 16:53 swung win probability 72% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Iowa Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 47 | 32 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 16:53 swung win probability 72% → 94%.
Why Northern Iowa Panthers lost
- Lost H1 28-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 16:53 (win probability 72% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 41.2% eFG vs a 54.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 15-6 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | H1 16:53 | 72% → 94% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | H2 1:39 | 100% → 100% |