Siena Saints 65, Duke Blue Devils 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-19 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Siena Saints 71–65 on 2026-03-19 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 1:36 swung win probability 19% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Siena Saints lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 43 | 22 | 65 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 32 | 39 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 1:36 swung win probability 19% → 100%.
Why Siena Saints lost
- Lost H2 22-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 14:17 (win probability 6% → 45% for the home side).
- Shot 45.4% eFG vs a 50.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-6 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-11.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 10–0 | H1 10:21 | 61% → 22% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 11–0 | H2 14:17 | 6% → 45% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 11–0 | H2 1:36 | 19% → 100% |