Virginia Lynchburg Dragons 53, Morgan State Bears 128
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-20 · Winner: Morgan State Bears
Morgan State Bears defeated Virginia Lynchburg Dragons 128–53 on 2026-01-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 75-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 9:18 swung win probability 94% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Lynchburg Dragons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| Morgan State Bears | 65 | 63 | 128 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 9:18 swung win probability 94% → 100%.
Why Virginia Lynchburg Dragons lost
- Lost H1 25-65 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 9:18 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-3.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan State Bears | 12–0 | H1 9:18 | 94% → 100% |
| Morgan State Bears | 8–0 | H1 3:30 | 100% → 100% |
| Morgan State Bears | 11–0 | H2 11:21 | 100% → 100% |
| Morgan State Bears | 9–0 | H2 2:46 | 100% → 100% |